Inevitable US policy shift on Burma: why and how
Ph.D. Conflict Analysis and Resolution, George Mason University, Oo, Min Zaw. 2010. From Democratic Transition to Consolidation: The Analysis of 115 Cases of Democratic Transitions in 86 Countries from 1955 to 2007. Doctoral Dissertation. Institute for Conflict Analysis and Resolution. George Mason University
M.A., Georgetown University, Security Studies focusing on security sector reform
The recent visit of US Senator Jim Webb has stirred up speculation and criticism of what the visit could mean for Washington’s Burma policy, especially from traditional supporters of the opposition movement residing in the West. A common, critical sound bite belittles Webb’s visit as a personal trip. But all detractors and critics largely ignore the fundamental facts related to the visit and the inevitability of a US policy shift on Burma.
There are three major underlying reasons encompassing the US’s new policy towards Burma.
Strategic Paradigm Shift
Under President Obama the most fundamental deviation from the Bush administration’s foreign policy is the recognition of the limit of US power in the world. The Bush administration’s neo-conservative worldview called for the use of US power to bring about freedom and democracy. In contrast, Obama and his strategic advisors acknowledge that the extension of US power has reached a critical threshold.
The US has become a declining power in the face of a rising China, Russia and India. Although the US is still the most powerful nation militarily, the US economy is largely interdependent with the Asian economy. China holds the largest percentage of US debt. The combination of Japanese and Chinese ownership of US debt has reached 45 percent of US Treasury securities.
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